Years your savings last
Each cell is the number of years the money lasts if you withdraw the amount shown in the first year, raise the withdrawal by 3% a year for inflation, and the remaining balance earns 5% a year.
| Savings | $40,000 a year | $60,000 | $80,000 | $100,000 | $150,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400,000 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| $500,000 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| $700,000 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| $800,000 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| $1 million | 34 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 7 |
| $1.5 million | 50+ | 34 | 23 | 17 | 11 |
| $2 million | 50+ | 50+ | 34 | 25 | 15 |
| $3 million | 50+ | 50+ | 50+ | 44 | 25 |
| $4 million | 50+ | 50+ | 50+ | 50+ | 37 |
| $5 million | 50+ | 50+ | 50+ | 50+ | 50+ |
Withdrawals are taken at the start of each year. "50+" means the money lasts at least 50 years. Worked out year by year; Social Security, pensions and taxes are not included.
What changes the answer most
- Withdrawal rate: taking 4% of the starting balance ($40,000 from $1 million) makes savings last far longer than taking 8%.
- Returns, especially early on: a market fall in the first few years of retirement does more damage than the same fall later ("sequence of returns" risk).
- Inflation: a withdrawal that keeps pace with prices grows every year.
- Other income: Social Security or a pension means you need to take less from savings.
Run your own numbers
Use the how long will my money last calculator with your balance, withdrawal, return and inflation, or test good and bad markets with the retirement withdrawal calculator.
Every worked example on this page was checked with Calcist's own engine and an independent reference.